Showing posts with label Warning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Warning. Show all posts

2017-08-02

Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks on Market Warning, Risks, FAANGs (video)

Oaktree's Howard Marks on Market Warning, Risks, FAANGs

Aug.01, 2017: Howard Marks, co-chairman at Oaktree Capital (domain: oaktreecapital.com), discusses his latest memo that urges investors to reduce risks, the value of FAANG stocks, and his current take on investor behavior. He speaks with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."
Memos from Howard Marks: "... I think it’s better to turn cautious too soon (and thus perhaps underperform for a while) rather than too late, after the downslide has begun, making it hard to trim risk, achieve exits and cut losses ..."
Excerpt:

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2015-09-29

Carl Icahn, Danger Ahead, Financial Warning, Video

(source: cnbc.com and carlicahn.com)

Above: Billionaire investor Carl Icahn's new video: "Danger Ahead" in which he warns of the results of interest rates that have been kept too low for too long, saying stocks could go down "a lot more" as the market comes to grips with bubbles exacerbated by the Fed's zero interest rate policy.

Carl's five major worries:
  1. Low interest rates
  2. Tax loopholes
  3. Financial engineering of earnings
  4. Stock buybacks that weaken balance sheets
  5. The high-yield bond market.
  • Icahn told CNBC the US Federal Reserve "may have backed itself into a corner."  Icahn argues the Fed should have hiked interest rates months ago, but doing so now is harder given China's weakness and other emerging markets.
  • Corporate earnings are "suspect," driven by low interest rates more than anything else--"Instead of taking the money that they can borrow and really invest it in machinery, in their workers to make them more productive, what they do with the money is almost perverse. They just go in and buy another company to show analysts on Wall Street that earnings are going up, so their stock will go up and it's financial engineering at its height."
  • Tax reform is needed on the issue of inversions and the repatriation of foreign profits.

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