2019-05-10

2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecasts & Updates

Tropical Atlantic wide view: 

GOES-East - Tropical Atlantic wide views (each link below opens in new window):
Southeast US radar:
U.S. East Coast below and here (opens in new window or tab):

U.S. Gulf Coast here (opens in new tab or window)

Caribbean view here (opens in new tab or window)

National Mosaic Enhanced Radar Image below (full resolution here):

Two-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Five-Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
UPDATES on all Atlantic Tropical Cyclones & Disturbances at nhc.noaa.gov
Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale graphic
Glossary of NHC Terms excerpt: Tropical Storm: A tropical cyclone in which the maximum sustained surface wind speed (using the U.S. 1-minute average) ranges from 34 kt (39 mph or 63 km/hr) to 63 kt (73 mph or 118 km/hr).

Five-day Atlantic Hurricane forecasts in 2017 were as accurate as two-day forecasts in 1998 due to more powerful supercomputers.

NOAA's Updated 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook (.jpg): NOAA increases chance for a  above-normal hurricane season.

The hurricane season is officially June 1 to November 30. For 2019, NOAA is now predicting a likely range of 10 to 17 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 5 to 9 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 2 to 4 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provides these ranges with a 70% confidence. An average hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which 6 become hurricanes, including 3 major hurricanes. See also Colorado State University's 2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast (pdf), and other 2019 hurricane season forecasts.

See also Hurricane Strikes in Continental U.S. 1950-2011 (png) and graphic of FL data 1900-2010.

Links:
    Condition 4 – Hurricane Seasonal Alert. 01 June–30 November; port status: open.
      Condition Whiskey – Sustained Gale Force winds (39–54 mph, 34–47 knots, 63–87 km/h), associated with Tropical Cyclone activity are predicted within 72 hours; port status: open.
        Condition X-Ray – Sustained Gale Force winds associated with Tropical Cyclone activity are predicted within 48 hours; port status: open.
          Condition Yankee – Sustained Gale Force winds associated with Tropical Cyclone activity are predicted within 24 hours; port status: restricted; vessel/facility control measures in effect.
            Condition Zulu – Sustained Gale Force winds associated with Tropical Cyclone activity are predicted within 12 hours; port status: closed to all vessel traffic and waterside activities except for activities approved by the COTP [Captain of the Port].

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            2019 Hurricane Season Notes:

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