Showing posts with label BigTech. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BigTech. Show all posts

2019-07-06

Tech Review 1) Why Jony Ive Chose To Leave Apple, 2) Big Tech & Profits

graphic "Tech Review" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
Tech Review (TR 2019-07-06)--Domain Mondo's weekly review of tech investing news: Features • 1) Why Jony Ive Chose To Leave Apple, 2) Big Tech: Do Profits Really Matter? 3) Investing: The Week & Investor Notes: China & Huawei, Eurozone Japanification, US Pension Crisis & Federal Debt, 4) ICYMI Tech News: WTF Apple? Amazon, Broadcom, Antitrust, Google, and more.
UPDATE Deutsche Bank (NYSE: DB) bites the bullet, radical transformation, new leadership, cuts 18,000 jobs. 
1) Why Jony Ive Chose To Leave Apple

Jony Ive will leave Apple later this year to start a new venture of his own, called LoveFrom, with Apple as his first client. No one will be taking Jony Ive's title, Chief Design Officer, a position at the center of 20 years of product development at Apple, when he leaves, says the FT.com's technology correspondent Tim Bradshaw, who talks about his exclusive interview with Jony Ive in the video above published June 28, 2019.
"To create something that's genuinely new, you have to start again and I think with great intent, you disconnect from the past."--Jony Ive
Editor's note:  Why did Jony Ive choose to leave Apple? He simply wanted to do something new.

See also: Apple Chief Executive Tim Cook on Monday fiercely disputed a WSJ report about the departure of Jony Ive and the company's ability to uphold its commitment to innovative design.

2) Big Tech: do profits really matter?

Why are loss-making tech companies still attracting investors who are willing to wait for companies to turn a profit? FT.com video published July 1, 2019.

Note also re: fracking technology: “I'm not aware of another case of a disruptive technological change that has done so much harm to the industry that created the change ... While hundreds of billions of dollars of benefits have accrued to hundreds of millions of people, the amount of shareholder value destruction registers in the hundreds of billions of dollars ... The industry is self-destructive.”--Steve Schlotterbeck, former chief executive of EQT, a shale gas giant, at a petrochemicals conference in Pittsburgh. Editor's note: and this doesn't even begin to address  fracking's health and environmental issues.

3) Investing
graphic: "INVESTING"  ©2017 DomainMondo.com
The Week: NASDAQ Composite +1.9% | S&P 500 Index +1.7% | DJIA +1.2%
Stocks finished slightly lower on Friday, backing away from all-time highs hit earlier this week, after a better-than-expected employment report in June partially rolled back investors' expectations for multiple rate cuts this year.
I Just Hope the Fed Doesn’t See This Jobs Report--wolfstreet.com. U.S. nonfarm payrolls rose 224,000 in June, well above market expectations of 165,000, according to the Labor Department. The unemployment rate edged higher to 3.7% (300,000 people entered the labor force looking for work and therefore counted as unemployed), but was still near 50-year lows. Wage growth was 3.1% year over year.
Goldman Sachs' explanation on why there is now a "bull market in almost everything"--"monetary policy" remains the main driver of risk appetite and expectations are now very bullish.

Global hedge fund liquidations exceeded launches for the third consecutive quarter as managers faced a tough capital-raising environment. About 213 funds closed in the first three months of this year, compared with 136 that opened--bloomberg.com. Editor's note: why pay the high fees?
Investor Notes: 
China: "The Huawei battle reflects a fundamental geostrategic shift in Washington. For decades, the U.S. foreign policy establishment assumed Beijing would evolve into a cooperative partner in the rules-based, American-led international order that did so much to foster China's boom. That hope has evaporated. Now, the United States sees China as an adversary determined to challenge American leadership in technology and innovation. President Donald Trump has launched a trade war against Beijing and is boosting defense spending. Huawei is cast as a Chinese standard-bearer in that struggle."--Special Report | reuters.com See also:

EU: The Eurozone’s Japanification--with the eurozone economy stuck in a low growth, low inflation and low rates environment, it's really hard not to make 'Japanification' comparisons. If we're honest, the eurozone is probably already in the thick of it, which means rates are likely to remain lower for longer and every new crisis or recession will bring the bloc closer to more Japanification--ing.com. See also French Bond Yields Slide Below Zero, Hit All Time Record Lows and Deutsche Bank's Restructuring Plan To Cost Staggering €5 Billion--zerohedge.com; German prosecutors are escalating a money laundering inquiry involving Deutsche Bank, including planned raids on wealthy former clients, a person with direct knowledge of the matter told reuters.com.
There is the ongoing economic misery across Europe. Most of the economy remains stalled – and there are signs it could get worse ...  I am not anti-European, but I think it’s about to go through a slow implosion. There is an increasing likelihood Europe becomes largely detached and delinked from the US and other Occidental economies, and irrelevant to the growth economies of the Orient. From a trade perspective, I suspect we’d [UK] be better off outside [the European Union]--Bill Blain.
See also  How Does the European Union Work? The EU’s authority has steadily expanded as its members have passed more and more decision-making power to the union--cfr.org. New leaders of the EU / ECB (nominees still need to be debated and ratified by the European Parliament):
  • Ursula von der Leyen, 60, Germany: European Commission President;
  • Charles Michel, 43, Belgium: President of the European Council;
  • Josep Borrell, 72, Spain: EU High Representative (foreign policy);
  • Christine Lagarde, 63, France: European Central Bank President.

U.S. Under the Radar: Pension Crisis Deepens in U.S. as strategies shift, outlooks dim--bloomberg.com. "I can only repeat again and again: There is no solution to the woefully underfunded pensions in Chicago and in Illinois that does not involve benefit cuts subsequent to a 2020 constitutional amendment or municipal bankruptcy.  And the sooner Pritzker and Lightfoot figure that out, the better off we’ll all be."--wirepoints.org. Note also: soaring federal debt "poses substantial risks for the nation" warns Congressional Budget Office (CBO).

4) ICYMI Tech News:
graphic: "ICYMI Tech News" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
WTF Apple? Apple Moves Mac Pro Production to China--the $6,000 desktop computer had been the company’s only major device assembled in the U.S.--wsj.com. See also Electronics exodus from China--HP and Dell plan to shift up to 30% of notebook production out of China; Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Sony, Nintendo also want to move some production--nikkei.com.

Airbnb is among IPOs investors are anticipating in the second half of 2019--CNBC (video).

Broadcom In Advanced Talks to Acquire Symantec--another software acquisition by CEO Tan?

Antitrust: Retail Industry Leaders Association (RILA) representing Walmart, Target, Best Buy, others writes to FTC (pdf) about tech giant dominance, offering help with antitrust probes, and calls out Amazon and Google. 

Amazon & Product Liability: 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals (2-1) rules customers can sue Amazon when they buy defective products from its platform, even if Amazon did not make those products.

What's left to monetize? It appears the answer is "very little."--blogspot.com--"Advertising has always monetized consumers' time and attention, what we call engagement today. Big Tech has generated billions of dollars by monetizing other forms of engagement and privately owned capital/assets. Google has monetized web search ... AirBNB has monetized privately owned or leased homes and flats ..."

Early front-runners to regulate Libra are FINMA (Switzerland) and BOE (UK): "The long-run success of Libra critically depends on finding a nation with financial gravitas willing to provide Libra-friendly rules."--seekingalpha.com.

Ireland-based cryptocurrency exchange Bitsane has apparently vanished, taking as many as 246,000 users’ crypto deposits with it.--zerohedge.com.

Personal Tech: Surviving a SIM swap attack | zdnet.com--"Turns out, the attack was likely driven by a Coinbase account I experimented with in early 2018 that was never closed." See also The Motherboard Guide to Not Getting Hacked.

-- John Poole, Editor • Domain Mondo

feedback & comments via twitter @DomainMondo


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2019-06-22

Tech Review 1) Big Tech & Antitrust, 2) World's Most Valuable Brands 2019

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Tech Review (TR 2019-06-22)--Domain Mondo's weekly review of tech investing news: Features • 1) Big Tech & Antitrust, 2) World's Most Valuable Brands 2019, Huawei? 3) Investing: The Week & Investor Notes: Where the 'Ready' Users of Libra & Calibra Are, 4)ICYMI Tech News: Unicorns, 5G, Nvidia & ARM, Google, Walmart, Slack, and more.

1) Big Tech & Antitrust
Antitrust expert Doug Melamed on the new probes into Big Tech

Doug Melamed, Stanford law professor, joins CNBC's "Squawk Alley" to discuss how the Microsoft antitrust case he helped bring to court might affect the new probes into major tech companies. CNBC Television video above published Jun 13, 2019.

2) World's Most Valuable Brands 2019
World's Most Valuable Brands 2019 | statista.com
Amazon, Apple, Google, Microsoft, Visa, Facebook, Alibaba, Tencent, McDonald's, AT&T.
For more: Top 100 Most Valuable Global Brands 2019 (published June 2019).

Editor's note: Huawei? 
#47. Where will Huawei be next year? Huawei says U.S. ban hurting more than expected, to wipe $30 billion off revenue and Bloomberg.com: Huawei Braces for Phone Sales Drop of Up to 60 Million Overseas.
"The most ambitious start-ups attempted to transcend their region of origin to become seen as global brands."--brandz.com
Chinese Cash In Silicon Valley Is Suddenly Toxic: as U.S. startups reject their money, Chinese venture-capital firms in U.S. are structuring deals to avoid regulators or shutting down. See also:  World’s Top Bicycle Maker Says the Era of ‘Made in China’ Is Over and Apple Explores Moving Some Production Out of China--Trade tensions prompt iPhone maker to consider diversifying supply chain. On Friday the U.S. Department of Commerce expanded its national security “entity list” to bar Chinese supercomputer firms from buying U.S. parts and components without U.S. government approval.

3) Investing
graphic: "INVESTING"  ©2017 DomainMondo.com
The Week--NASDAQ Composite +3.0% | S&P 500 Index +2.2% | DJIA +2.4%--for the week all three major U.S. stock indexes gained at least 2.2%, with the S&P 500 hitting its first record close since April. 
The Backstory: U.S. stocks ended slightly lower Friday, but locked in strong weekly gains after the Federal Reserve indicated on Wednesday it could carry out rate cuts later this year if economic conditions decline, with investors eyeing a slowdown in the global economy, and the G20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, 28-29 June 2019, where a widely anticipated meeting between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump may take place.
Investor Notes--where the 'ready' users of Libra & Calibra already are:
source: statista.com
Background:
  • Fed Chair LIVE Jun 19, 2:30pm EDT, ECB Draghi Chaos, Facebook Calibra & Libra: "The first product Calibra will introduce is a digital wallet for Libra, a new global currency powered by blockchain technology."
  • In an opinion piece in the Financial Times on Friday, Facebook Inc’s co-founder Chris Hughes said the Libra cryptocurrency would hand over much of the control of monetary policy from central banks to private companies: “If global regulators don’t act now, it could very soon be too late,” wrote Hughes, who also said the corporations that would oversee the new currency would put their private interests - profits and influence - ahead of public ones. Editor's note: what Hughes describes is exactly how ICANN has been corrupted.   
  • The international Financial Action Task Force (FATF) has issued updated guidance concerning regulation of cryptocurrency and virtual assets at its meeting in Orlando, Florida.
  • European central bankers claim oversight over Facebook’s cryptocurrency--reuters.com. Reuters also reported that France is creating a G7 task force to study how central banks ensure cryptocurrencies like Facebook’s Libra are governed by regulations ranging from money-laundering laws to consumer-protection rules.

4) ICYMI Tech News:
graphic: "ICYMI Tech News" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
"Unicorns are amazingly deflationary vehicles. They're deflating rents, they're deflating driver salaries, they're deflating all kinds of things"--renown short-seller Jim Chanos explaining how Silicon Valley unicorns have pushed prices lower and why central banks are to blame.

According to latest estimates by Ericsson, 5G won’t really take off until 2021/2022. See also Crown Castle International: a play on the coming of 5G and the expansion of IoT--SeekingAlpha.com.

Nvidia says its accelerator chips will work with ARM processors by end of this year.

Google will eventually provide RCS Chat (replacement for SMS texting) directly to any Android user. Note also Google cancels plans for future tablets, focusing instead on Pixel phones and Pixelbooks (chromebooks).

Urban Mobility: Getting Beyond Gridlock--by 2030 robo-taxis, autonomous shuttles, and trains, will provide most urban mobility with private cars only a very small share, and buses almost non-existent.

Walmart: U.S. eCommerce Strategy and the Role of Jet.com. Walmart is the fourth largest online retailer in the US in 2019, according to eMarketer estimates, behind only Amazon, eBay, and Apple. See also: Apple says iPhones can now be fixed at all U.S. Best Buy stores, and Brick-and-Mortar Meltdown Gets Costly for Big Retailers--wolfstreet.com.

Slack closed at $38.62, June 20, 2019, up 48.5% from its $26 reference price, on its first day of trading as a direct listing, valuing the company at about $20B. Domain: slack.com. Investor relations: https://investor.slackhq.com/home/default.aspx.

UK: likely next Prime Minister, Boris Johnson, pledges to 'end the digital divide' by 2025, via a full rollout of fiber broadband.

Personal Tech: most U.S. mobile banking apps have security and privacy flaws, researchers say.

-- John Poole, Editor, Domain Mondo  

feedback & comments via twitter @DomainMondo


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2019-06-17

Greycroft's Alan Patricof on Big Tech & Antitrust Concerns (video)

The big tech companies are smothering small start-ups. Minor changes to a platform’s algorithms can harm a business’s traffic overnight.--Alan Patricof, Silicon Valley VC
Greycrofts' Patricof: There are legitimate antitrust concerns surrounding big tech

Washington is taking aim at big tech, and Amazon, Apple, Google, and Facebook could be vulnerable to antitrust actions. Alan Patricof, co-founder and managing partner at Greycroft Ventures (greycroft.com), joins the discussion on CNBC's "Squawk Box." CNBC Television video  above published Jun 6, 2019.

"Let’s face it, the Internet is a utility and so are the corporations who control it .... Technology needs to be regulated."--Alan Patricof.

Alan Patricof, April 10, 2019:
"From my vantage point in the venture capital industry, it is apparent that many start-ups are failing or changing their business models because of their dependence on Amazon, Facebook or Google. The situation has progressed to the point where venture capitalists discount companies that rely on a digital platform to reach their markets."





feedback & comments via twitter @DomainMondo


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2019-05-16

Regulating Big Tech: Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google (video)

Regulating Big Tech

Calls to curb the power of big technology companies like Facebook $FB, Amazon $AMZN, Apple $AAPL, and Google $GOOG, $GOOGL, and protect personal data are growing louder. The FT explains some issues it thinks are reshaping the companies that dominate our daily lives. Financial Times (ft.com) video above published May 7, 2019.

Issues highlighted in the video: harmful content, election integrity, privacy, transparency, taxation, lack of competition (antitrust). 
Key player: Margrethe Vestager, "European Commissioner for Competition. Part of Team Europe."


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2019-03-23

Tech Review 1) When Will Humans Get To Mars? (video)

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Tech Review (TR 2019-03-23)--Domain Mondo's weekly review of tech investing news: Features • 1) When Will Humans Get To Mars? 2) Amazon $AMZN Media Strategy, 3) Investing: The Week & Notes: 'Japanification’ of the Eurozone OR Eurification? 4) ICYMI Tech News: Google, 5G, Facebook, Qualcomm, Tesla, AMD, FIS & Worldpay, Quitting Big Tech.

1) When Will Humans Get To Mars?

Sending astronauts to Mars is a daunting prospect that will not deter NASA and private companies from trying to put humans on the red planet. The Economist.com video above published Feb 28, 2019.

2) Amazon $AMZN Media Strategy

When Amazon pursued the rights to a “Lord of the Rings” series in 2017, the company knew it would have to overcome some major obstacles to lure the J.R.R. Tolkien estate to its video-streaming platform. Amazon was a relative newcomer in video, with no track record of shepherding a blockbuster series. HBO, meanwhile, could tout its long history of hits, most notably “Game of Thrones,” a similarly epic series based on fantasy novels with a rabid fan base. Netflix, with more than 100 million subscribers, pioneered the on-demand model with hits such as “House of Cards” and “Orange is the New Black.” Apple was also in on the negotiations to acquire the rights for the upcoming TV show, according to people familiar with the matter.

Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, a big “Lord of the Rings” fan, was promising the Amazon Studios team a huge budget to nab the series, a prequel to Tolkien’s “The Fellowship of the Ring.” But money alone wasn’t going to separate Amazon from the pack — Amazon’s $250 million offer wasn’t even the highest bid for the show’s rights, according to a person familiar with the matter. The ultimate selling point, according to people with knowledge of the negotiations, related to Amazon’s original business from over two decades ago: books.

The Tolkien estate was convinced that in promoting the series, Amazon could sell truckloads of Tolkien’s fantasy novels, including “The Hobbit” and “The Silmarillion” as well as “The Lord of the Rings.” During meetings with the Tolkien estate and publisher HarperCollins, Amazon’s Sharon Tal Yguado, who was hired from Fox in 2017, demonstrated a near encyclopedic knowledge of Tolkien’s characters, stories and geography, said the people, who asked not to be named because the talks were private.

The “Lord of the Rings” series will start production in the next two years. The huge investment in a TV series has made Hollywood wonder just how much Bezos will spend on content. So far, Amazon has dabbled across the TV spectrum, with original content such as “Lord of the Rings,” a growing back catalog of movies and shows, as well as live sports from the National Football League and the Premier League. In February, 2019, Bezos was spotted chatting with NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell at the Super Bowl, a reminder that Amazon has several opportunities in the coming years to make a big splash in America’s most lucrative sport. Meanwhile, The New York Post reported that Amazon is nearing a $3.5 billion deal to acquire the YES network, the regional sports network in New York that carries Yankees games. CNBC.com video above published Mar 13, 2019.

3) Investing
graphic: "INVESTING"  ©2017 DomainMondo.com
The Week: NASDAQ Composite +0.8% | S&P 500 Index -0.9% | DJIA -1.1%
Dow drops more than 450 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since January amid global growth worries--CNBC.com, Friday, March 22, 2019. Despite the decline on Friday, stocks are still up sharply for the year: S&P 500 is up 11.7%, the tech-heavy NASDAQ up 15.2%, and the Dow is up 9.2%.

Editor's note: the first four days of the week (graphic below) tell the tale of FOMC Fed Chair press conference Mar 20, 2:30pm, but on Friday the 3-month vs. 10-year Treasury spread inverted for the first time since 2007, a signal (provided the inversion remains for 10 days), indicating a recession sometime within the next 2 years, perhaps sooner, particularly when the inversion is followed by a second one. 
NASDAQ Composite
Investor Notes: a global slowdown led by Europe
"... manufacturing activity in Germany dropped to its lowest level in more than six years in March. In France, manufacturing and services slowed down to their lowest levels in three months and two months, respectively. For the euro zone as a whole, manufacturing fell to its lowest level since April 2013. These data sent the German 10-year bund yield briefly into negative territory, its lowest level since 2016 ..."--CNBC.com
The ‘Japanification’ of the Eurozone--the eurozone is beginning to resemble Japan with its low-growth and low-inflation environment, coupled with still very loose monetary policy, according to economists at ING--"An end to current unconventional monetary policy, i.e. the negative deposit rate and ample liquidity, is not in sight and the ECB is expected to do everything it can to avoid an unwarranted tightening of its monetary stance."

Eurification: "Why is Europe caught in a lost decade – 12 years of minimal growth? There are definitely parallels with Japan, but as many differences ... the core problem is the structure behind the Euro – ill-conceived but now a “must-preserve-at-all-costs” construct that represents the “key-success” of the European polity ... The failure of the Euro structure has magnified one massive difference between  Eurofication and Japanificiation. While Japan fell into stagnation at full employment, Europe is substantially below – especially the further you get from Germany. Youth unemployment is massive across the EU and it looks permanent ... Eurofication is a stalled economy, stalled consumption and long-term massive structural unemployment"--Bill Blain.  Editor's note: if they are plucky, the Brits will leave the Euromess April 12.

See also Eurozone’s push for unified fiscal discipline is doomed to fail says Dr. Juan Castaneda--cityam.com.

France’s Message for the G7--President Emmanuel Macron and his Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire are using France’s G7 presidency to push an agenda that includes minimum global taxes and higher levies on tech giants like Amazon and Facebook. Le Maire’s view is there’s little choice if Europe doesn’t want to be dependent on U.S. or Chinese giants--use competition law against global tech giants, enabling the creation of European competitors.

4) ICYMI Tech News:
graphic: "ICYMI Tech News" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
EU vs Google: The EU fines Google €1.49B for “abusive practices in online advertising” and breaching EU antitrust rules--europa.eu.

Google debuts Stadia, a game streaming service for Chrome, Android, and TVs that lets users “instantly” play games, also coming in 2019 with 4K HDR support at 60FPS--youtube.com.

Cutting through the 5G hype: survey shows telcos’ nuanced views--mckinsey.com Operators see a marginally positive business case, expect rollout at scale to take until 2022, and don’t think the increase in capital-expense-to-sales ratio will be as big as skeptics claim.

Facebook:  Zuckerberg planning to change Facebook from an open connected platform to a private, encrypted network encompassing its Facebook platform, WhatsApp and Instagram.

Qualcomm: Misunderstood Legal Ramifications And 5G Tailwinds--seekingalpha.com.

Tesla--How Not To Run A Company--A Mess at the Top & Moody’s Gets Nervous, Decision-Making Chaos, Epic Strategy Flip-Flops--wolfstreet.com.

AMD: Advanced Mass Delusions--seekingalpha.com

FIS’s $43B takeover of Worldpay--the scramble to build global payment systems.

Personal Tech: Quitting the five tech giants, full series: Day 1: Amazon; Day 2: Facebook; Day 3: Google; Day 4: Microsoft; Day 5: Apple.
Editor's Note: I'm minimal Microsoft, zero Apple, zero Facebook, but use Google daily, and use Amazon almost daily. How about you?
And social media? 
"Oldsters are on Facebook. Hipsters are on Twitter and vapidity rules on Instagram. As for Snapchat, it’s like Second Life, something overhyped that never broke through"--Bob Lefsetz. 

-- John Poole, Editor, Domain Mondo  

feedback & comments via twitter @DomainMondo


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2019-02-16

Tech Review: 1) What Will Replace Facebook? 2) Jeff Bezos in 1999 (video)

graphic "Tech Review" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
Tech Review (TR 2019-02-16)--Domain Mondo's weekly review of tech investing news: Features • 1) What Will Replace Facebook? 2) Jeff Bezos In 1999 On Amazon's Plans Before The Dotcom Crash, 3) Investing: The Week & Investor Notes: Globalization in Transition, Germany Vulnerable, Bill Gross, John Paulson, Byron Wien, 4) ICYMI Tech News: Big Tech and more, 5) End Note: Velocity.

1) What will replace Facebook? 

Facebook (NASDAQ: FB) has dominated the social-media landscape for the past 15 years. "But breaches of its users' privacy mean it is now slipping out of favour. Could an emerging technological movement take its place?"--The Economist.com video above published Feb 4, 2019. See also There Are Storm Clouds On Facebook's Horizon--seekingalpha.com.

Also note: Headlines Aren't Reality--seekingalpha.com: "At 22 times earnings, FB is my highest conviction buy of 2019."

2) Jeff Bezos In 1999 On Amazon's Plans Before The Dotcom Crash

Jeff Bezos explained his ambitious vision for Amazon $AMZN in a 1999 interview. He made clear the company’s focus was on “great customer service” and discussed his real estate strategy. Bezos said, “There’s no guarantee that Amazon.com can be a successful company. What we’re trying to do is very complicated.” He added, “Scale is important to us and we’re going to go after that kind of scale.” CNBC.com video published Feb 8, 2019.

See also:
  • Bezos Complexifiers from Ms. Sanchez to Ms. Ocasio-Cortez: "we’ve decided not to move forward with our plans to build a headquarters for Amazon in Long Island City, Queens"--aboutamazon.com.
  • Amazon Isn’t Interested in Making the World a Better Place by Kara Swisher--"New Yorkers who expected better bought into the myth that tech companies are more than just self-interested businesses."--NYTimes.com Op-ed.
  • 'New York’s Ejection of Amazon Is the Start of a Movement'--citylab.com. New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Cheers Amazon’s Withdrawal as a Victory Over ‘Greed’--bloomberg.com.
  • Bezos's Wild Days: 'Dick Pics,' Lurid Selfies, Blackmail, Drama--bloomberg.com.
  • Bezos Selfie Controversy Triggers Alarm For Billionaires Worldwide.
  • Why Amazon $AMZN Is Undervalued--seekingalpha.com.
  • Size Matters: When Amazon Went From Big to Unbelievably Big--Amazon now has 288M sq. ft. of warehouses, offices, retail stores, and data centers; all retail adds up to less than 20M sq. ft. and all of AWS uses 10M sq. ft.--the data on the company’s real-estate holdings reveal a remarkable inflection point--theatlantic.com.

3) Investing
graphic: "INVESTING"  ©2017 DomainMondo.com
The Week: NASDAQ Composite +2.4% | S&P 500 Index +2.5% | DJIA +3.1%
The Long View:
Trendline (graphic) ©2018 DomainMondo.com
Investor Notes: with the world awash in $8.6 trillion of negative-yielding debt, money managers are wading again into fringe fixed-income markets across the globe--“We’ve seen a huge psychological swing toward greed from fear in the space of a few weeks,” said Jamie Stuttard, co-head of global macro fixed-income at Robeco Group in London (robeco.com).

Americans' Confidence in Their Finances Keeps Growing--gallup.com; Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon says US economy 'chugging along,' chance of recession quite small--cnbc.com.

U.S. Oil & Brexit: the United States is now the largest global crude oil producer (production to grow to 14 mbpd by 2030 according to EIA.gov), and the U.S. has already become the United Kingdom's largest supplier of oil for the first time since the Suez crisis of 1956, reports the Financial Times.

Trump Effect or Not, Globalization is in Transition: future of trade and value chains--China exported 17% of what it produced in 2007, but only 9% of what it produced in 2017, about the same percentage as the U.S., but much lower than Germany's 34%, South Korea's 28%, and Japan's 14%--mckinsey.com.
  • Editor's note: export-heavy countries may be at risk, particularly Germany. The EU has badly miscalculated the economic risks of Brexit for the EU, particularly Germany (the UK imports more from the EU than it exports, and Germany is most vulnerable). A 'hard Brexit,'  in conjunction with Trump's trade policies, could deliver a double whammy to Germany's already slowing economy in 2019.
  • "Germany’s long expansion comes under threat, the slowing is a consequence of its export-oriented model"--economist.com.
  • German Industrial Production Falls the Most Since 2009. New Orders Plummet ... a “technical recession” beckons--WolfStreet.com.
Majority Of U.S. CEOs See Trump's Tariffs Helping--"More than double the number who saw a negative impact"--zerohedge.com.and bloomberg.com.

The Bond King Retires: Bill Gross’s retirement from Janus and his  recent struggles show how hard it’s become for individual managers to beat the indexes, algorithms and sprawling trading teams that oversee today’s portfolios--bloomberg.com.

John Paulson, 63, may also be getting ready to call it a day. He said last month that he is considering booting out investors and managing only his own money within a couple of years--largely unknown until the financial crisis, when he shorted housing before everyone else recognized the bubble, his firm made $15 billion in 2007, and his personal cut was $4 billion. Read The Greatest Trade Ever.

Blackstone's Byron Wien Discusses Lessons Learned in His First 80 Years: #20 Never retire.  "If you work forever, you can live forever.  I know there is an abundance of biological evidence against this theory, but I’m going with it anyway."--blackstone.com.

4) ICYMI Tech News:
graphic: "ICYMI Tech News" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
Google announces "over $13 billion in investments throughout 2019 in data centers and offices across the U.S., with major expansions in 14 states. These new investments will give us the capacity to hire tens of thousands of employees, and enable the creation of more than 10,000 new construction jobs in Nebraska, Nevada, Ohio, Texas, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Virginia. With this new investment, Google will now have a home in 24 total states, including data centers in 13 communities. 2019 marks the second year in a row we’ll be growing faster outside of the Bay Area than in it." Google also plans to release a lower-priced smartphone this year--nikkei.com; and  Google extends chip-making efforts to a design hub in Bengaluru, India--reuters.com.

Alphabet (GOOGL, GOOGL) aggressively ramped up capital spending in 2018, spending far more than the large telecoms AT&T (T) and Verizon Communications (VZ), and other tech giants Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN).--seekingalpha.com. See also 'Why Alphabet is a better investment than Apple'.--seekingalpha.com, and Apple Faces New Challenges In App Store--seekingalpha.com.

Big Tech: Microsoft, Google, Facebook, Apple, and Amazon, have become so large that even relatively modest percentage growth in any of their businesses would translate into enormous absolute change in the world--theatlantic.com.

Going short Tesla $TSLA: Druckenmiller bought Tesla Puts in Q4 2018.

Venture Capital: VCs raised $55B in 2018, but most of the increased funding went into growth rounds, which are effectively private IPOs--bothsidesofthetable.com.

Speed robotics development with the cloud--therobotreport.com.

Cut the Cord: MGM’s Epix Joins Streaming Market With Epix Now app--Variety.com.

Boeing's iconic 747:
NASA's Boeing 747 transporting the Space Shuttle
UPS ordered 14 more 747-8 freighters in 2018, and Boeing's iconic jumbo jet, now flying in the skies for more than 50 years, looks set to outlive its younger European competitor, Airbus SE’s A380, thanks to a cargo market boom fueled by online shopping.

Sprint sues AT&T over its “5G Evolution” branding, claims it is false and deceptive advertising that is damaging the reputation of actual 5G --engadget.com.

Germany, France face hurdles in push to rewrite EU antitrust rules--Vestager says global rules on subsidies and trade defense instruments, controlling foreign investments, mutual access to markets and reinforcing data protection and privacy rules should be included.

Blockchain’s Occam problem--mckinsey.com: "given the amount of money and time spent ... little of substance has been achieved." [ Editor's note: Occam’s razor is a problem-solving principle, the simplest solution tends to be the best.]

5) End Note
How to Increase Velocity: Say "No" to the Non-Essential, ruthlessly eliminate unnecessary tasks, priorities, meetings, BS; create systems and habits that help you fend off distractions; and put all your effort into the projects that really matter.
“People think focus means saying yes to the thing you've got to focus on. But that's not what it means at all. It means saying no to the hundred other good ideas that there are. You have to pick carefully. I'm actually as proud of the things we haven't done as the things I have done. Innovation is saying no to 1,000 things.”--Steve Jobs
-- John Poole, Editor, Domain Mondo  

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