Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label currency. Show all posts

2019-06-20

How Libra Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Network Will Work (video)

Libra: how it's going to work

FT.com's global tech correspondent Tim Bradshaw explains the new cryptocurrency announced by Facebook: "Libra, a new global currency powered by blockchain technology."

Facebook investor on Libra cryptocurrency

Scott Kupor of Silicon Valley VC firm Andreessen Horowitz (a16z.com) joins CNBC's "Closing Bell" to discuss Facebook's new cryptocurrency, June 19, 2019.
"... we are joining the Libra Association as a Founding Member. The Libra Association is a membership organization behind Libra, a new global currency and financial infrastructure built on blockchain technology.  Libra brings together a world-class group of partners, including:
  • Technology companies that know how to create global-scale networks and infrastructure, like Stripe and Facebook.
  • Financial services companies, like PayPal and Visa, that have deep experience in global payments.
  • Platforms, including Spotify, Lyft, and Uber, who know how to build user-friendly and popular applications with millions of users.
  • Crypto-first companies, like Coinbase and Anchorage, that have deep subject matter expertise.
  • NGOs, like Kiva, Mercy Corps and Women’s World Banking, that understand the needs and habits of a wide variety of populations across the globe.
"These organizations can help Libra reach a critical mass of users, businesses and developers, with the goal of mainstreaming crypto adoption ..."--a16z.com
Domain: libra.org (more info on Libra at the link), and Libra white paper.

See also Fed Chair LIVE Jun 19, ECB Draghi Chaos, Facebook $FB Calibra


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2018-12-31

Year 2018 in Review & Fall of the FAANGs $AAPL $FB (video)

2018: Year in Review

Among the key events of the year; Donald Trump met Kim Jong Un, Facebook's growth slowed as Apple's market cap hit $1 trillion, and a trade war between the US and China weakened the global economy. Videos above and below published by the Financial Times (ft.com).

A Tale of Two Stocks: Apple $AAPL and Facebook $FB:
$AAPL
$FB
Techlash: the fall of the FAANGs

FT.com's Rana Foroohar explains what happened this year to the FAANGs (Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Netflix, Google, et al) in the tech sector, and what may further impact the sector in 2019.






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DISCLAIMER

2018-11-28

Red Flags: Why Xi's China Is In Jeopardy by George Magnus (video)

Magnus On China: You Can't Use Your Spreadsheets Anymore

George Magnus, former Chief Economist at UBS and author of the recently published Red Flags: Why Xi’s China Is in Jeopardy,” discusses the panoply of political and economic risks arrayed against China and its leader Xi Jinping: Ballooning debt, political instability, a demographic time-bomb, and the ever-looming threat of declining growth and a weakening currency. Filmed on September 27th, 2018 in London, Real Vision video above published Oct 3, 2018.

 Red Flags: Why Xi's China Is in Jeopardy by George Magnus

Deleveraging China will be a 'tricky challenge' for Xi Jinping

BNN Bloomberg video published Nov 14, 2018: George Magnus, author of "Red Flags: Why Xi's China Is in Jeopardy," tells BNN Bloomberg Xi Jinping will be challenged deleveraging China while simultaneously maintaining the country's pace of growth.

Author's domain: GeorgeMagnus.com excerpt below.
Xi’s bridge too far: "It looks like the world’s longest bridge will become a white elephant. The case for Xi’s bridge doesn’t add up. Before too long, Hong Kong will be just another large Chinese city"--George Magnus.
See also George Magnus talks debt, trade and the direction of China’s economy | ChinaEconomicReview.com


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DISCLAIMER

2017-12-28

A Lesson in Money: Venezuelans Want U.S. Dollars NOT Cryptocurrency

The collapse of Venezuela, explained

Vox video above published Aug 25, 2017: Venezuela is in chaos, but its leaders aren't going anywhere. Discussion of currency issues begins about 4:30. [Correction at 1:58: the Supreme Court tried to strip the country’s National Assembly of its powers in March 2017 (not 2016)].

After a decade and a half of strict exchange controls in Venezuela, access to U.S. dollars has been severely limited. Nonetheless, a black market in the world's foremost hard currency has spread in response. Venezuela's oil revenues have declined due to mismanagement and the decline in the price of oil on the world markets. Venezuela’s economy is now in free-fall, a living laboratory of whether Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency could fulfill the needs of the market and economy. In fact, Venezuela has a plan to introduce its own cryptocurrency.

Unfortunately for cryptocurrency fanatics, so far, Venezuelans are not seeking any cryptocurrency. Instead, the practice first adopted by gourmet and design stores in Caracas over the last couple of years to charge in U.S. dollars to a select group of expatriates or Venezuelans with access to the greenbacks, is fast spreading--Venezuelans scramble to survive as merchants demand dollars | reuters.com Dec 26, 2017: “There’s no point keeping bolivars.”

In fact, several countries use the U.S. dollar as their official currency, and in many others it is the de facto currency.

Definitions:
Cryptocurrency: "a digital currency in which encryption techniques are used to regulate the generation of units of currency and verify the transfer of funds, operating independently of a central bank."

Hard currency: "currency that is not likely to depreciate suddenly or to fluctuate greatly in value." Bitcoin and other "cryptocurrencies" are not "hard currency." The U.S. dollar is the world's foremost "hard currency."

Fiat money: "inconvertible paper money made legal tender by a government decree." Fiat (by government decree) currency was introduced as an alternative to commodity money and representative money.

Commodity money is "created from a good, often a precious metal such as gold or silver, which has uses other than as a medium of exchange (such a good is called a commodity). Representative money is similar to fiat money, but it represents a claim on a commodity (which can be redeemed to a greater or lesser extent)."

The circulating paper money of the U.S. consists of Federal Reserve Notes that are denominated only in United States dollars (12 U.S.C. § 418). Federal Reserve Notes are the only type of U.S. banknote currently produced. Federal Reserve Notes are authorized by Section 16 of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 and are issued to the Federal Reserve Banks at the discretion of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The notes are then put into circulation by the Federal Reserve Banks, at which point they become liabilities of the Federal Reserve Banks and obligations of the United States. Federal Reserve Notes are legal tender, with the words "this note is legal tender for all debts, public and private" printed on each note. They have replaced United States Notes, which were once issued by the Treasury Department. Federal Reserve notes are backed by the assets of the Federal Reserve Banks, which serve as collateral under Section 16. Total assets of the U.S. Federal Reserve Banks as of Dec 20, 2017, were almost $4.5 trillion. There were approximately $1.55 trillion in Federal Reserve notes in circulation as of November 15, 2017.

If you've got it, flaunt it:
Why is the U.S. dollar in such demand in Venezuela?
  • The U.S. dollar (traded in paper money form solely by Federal Reserve Notes) is a "hard currency" and the world's most dominant reserve currency;
  • Unlike many other countries, the U.S. dollar has "never been devalued, and its notes have never been invalidated"--The US [Dollar] Will Remain the World's Reserve Currency | Investopedia.com;
  • U.S. dollars are easily exchanged for any other foreign currency and the U.S. dollar does not fluctuate greatly in value against a basket of other hard currencies.
  • U.S. is still the world's largest economy, with the world's largest military.
Also note the differences between hard currencies, like the U.S. dollar, and any cryptocurrency:
  • Cryptocurrency scams, frauds, and theft are rampant: 
Lesson: if you want to speculate or "gamble" in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, do not do so under the delusion that any cryptocurrency outside the world's central banking system, will replace the U.S. dollar, or any other "hard currency," in the foreseeable future.
How To Protect Your Bitcoin From Hackers

CNBC.com video above published Dec 26, 2017:  CNBC's Seema Mody reports on bitcoin.

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DISCLAIMER

2017-11-28

Bitcoin & Other Cryptocurrencies: Investing or Gambling? (video)

Cryptocurrencies: investing or gambling?

The FT Alphaville editor explains why she thinks buying cryptocurrencies (e.g., bitcoin) is more similar to gambling than to investing. She also explores how regulators and tax authorities around the world are slowly catching up with this technology. Financial Times (ft.com) video above published Nov 22, 2017.

Cryptocurrency: Commodity, Currency or Asset?
 Consensus Invest 2017
Consensus: Invest 2017 | CoinDesk.com Nov 28, 2017, New York City - SOLD OUT but streaming LIVE (see also @coindesk twitter feed further below).




2017-05-26

Brexit, City of London, and the Euro Trade (video)

London and the Euro Trade

Video above published May 16, 2017: London's euro clearing dominance has been in the spotlight since the Brexit vote, as Europe would like this returned. The FT.com's Philip Stafford and Daniel Hodson, chairman of FSNForum (domain: fsnf.uk) and Board Member of Vote Leave, discuss the merits of such a move. Slides below:



See  also: New City of London group to help government with Brexit talks | Reuters.com
Financial Services Negotiation Forum (FSNForum)

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2016-08-25

Italy's Banks in Crisis, Final Nail in the Coffin for the EU and Euro? (videos)

Will Italy's Bank Crisis Be the Final Nail in the Coffin for the EU?

University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor Luigi Zingales and Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Rates Research David Woo discuss the plight of European banks and the future of the European Union. They speak on "Bloomberg Surveillance." Video above published August 8, 2016.

Joseph Stiglitz - The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe:

Video above published July 27, 2016: Peter Goodman of the New York Times interviews Joseph E. Stiglitz, Columbia University professor and economist, author of The Euro: How a Common Currency Threatens the Future of Europe. Interview transcript (pdf)

See also:


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2016-02-23

Will the Chinese Yuan Lose 30% of its Value? Investing in China (video)

Shanghai Composite Index
Shanghai Composite Index (source: google.com) 
UPDATE Feb 25, 2016: Lunar New Year post-holiday blues for the Shanghai Composite: the index dropped today 6.4% (see chart above), extending its decline this year to 22%. According to Seeking Alpha: surging money-market rates signal tighter liquidity and the offshore yuan has weakened for a fifth day, while China's vice finance minister warned of pressure on exports, and world leaders gather for a G20 meeting in Shanghai. Current market turmoil and a global economic slowdown are expected to be key topics of discussion.
    
Above: Real Trade Weighted U.S. Dollar Index: Major Currencies (source: stlouisfed.org)

Cash is King! Except when it isn't. The U.S. Dollar (USD) -- the "least dirty shirt" -- has a 38.5% gain in relation to other major currencies since 2011 (see chart above). The decline in the prices of commodities such as oil (which is priced in USD per barrel on major markets), has to be considered in context of the rise in the USD indexed against other major currencies.

How about the Chinese Yuan? China has a major bad-debt problem: "The debt problem in China has already reached the proportions of the U.S. subprime mortgage debacle." --China's Subprime Crisis Is Here - Bloomberg Gadfly (Feb 16, 2016).

Of Two Minds - The Chart of Doom: When Private Credit Stops Expanding... (Feb 5, 2016)"... the sole prop under the global "recovery" since 2008-09 has been private credit growth in China. From $4 trillion to over $21 trillion in seven years--no wonder bubbles have been inflated globally. Combine this expansion of private credit in China with the expansion of local government and other state-sector debt (state-owned enterprises, SOEs, etc.) and you have the makings of a global bubble machine."

"... From roughly 1989 to 2014--25 years--the "sure bet" in the global economy was to invest in China by moving production to China. This flood of capital into China only gained momentum as the yuan appreciated in value against the USD once Chinese authorities loosened the peg from 8.3 to 6.6 and then all the way down to 6 to the dollar. Every dollar transferred to China and converted to yuan gained as much as 25% over the years of yuan appreciation. Those hefty returns on cash sitting in yuan sparked a veritable tsunami of capital into China. Now that the tide of capital has reversed, nobody wants yuan: not foreign firms, not FX punters and not the Chinese holding massive quantities of depreciating yuan. This is why "housewives" from China are buying homes in Vancouver B.C. for $3 million. That $3 million could fall to $2 million as the yuan devalues to the old peg around 8.3 to the USD ... But that doesn't mean the devaluation of the yuan has to stop at 8.3: just as the dollar's recent strength is simply Stage One of a multi-stage liftoff, the yuan's devaluation to 8 to the USD is only the first stage of a multi-year devaluation."--Of Two Minds -Feb 17, 2016- Why the Chinese Yuan Will Lose 30% of its Value:

Meanwhile here's a video from Barron's--"Eric Chow on Investing in the Year of the Monkey" (Feb 3, 2016)--

Value Partners' hedge fund manager Eric Chow discusses with Barron's Asia Isabella Zhong his outlook for China's economy and why a Hong Kong property developer is one of his favorite picks. (2/3/2016)

Value Partners domain name: valuepartners.com.hk

Caveat Emptor!




DISCLAIMER

2016-01-18

China: Yuan, Markets, Economy, 'Don't Worry, Everything Is Under Control'

China: Yuan, Markets, Economy--'Don't Worry, Everything Is Under Control'--


PIMCO's Crescenzi: No One Knows What China Will Do Next - PIMCO's Anthony Crescenzi discusses his outlook for China and market volatility. He spoke on "Bloomberg Markets" on January 15, 2016 (video above). 

China: 'Everything Is Under Control' LOL
The yuan and the markets | The Economist: "... China is not normal. It is caught in a dangerous no-man’s-land between the market and state control. And the yuan is the prime example ... because a stronger [U.S.] dollar has been dragging up the yuan, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has tried to abandon its loose peg against the greenback since August; but it is still targeting a basket of currencies. A gradual loosening of capital controls means savers have plenty of ways to get their money out. A weakening economy, a quasi-fixed exchange rate and more porous capital controls are a volatile combination. Looser monetary policy would boost demand. But it would also weaken the currency; and that prospect is already prompting savers to shovel their money offshore. In the last six months of 2015 capital left China at an annualised rate of about $1 trillion. The persistent gap between the official value of the yuan and its price in offshore markets suggests investors expect the government to allow the currency to fall even further in [the] future ... The government has reacted by trying to rig markets. The PBOC has squeezed the fledgling offshore market in Hong Kong by buying up yuan so zealously that the overnight interest rate spiked on January 12th at 67%. Likewise, in the stockmarket it has instructed the “national team” of state funds to stick to the policy of buying and holding shares ..." (emphasis added, read more at the link above)

1-year chart of the Shanghai Composite Index (source: google.com)
Twitter feed--Shanghai Composite Index--


See also: Xi’s new model army | The Economist: "... Late in 2014 President Xi Jinping went to Gutian, a small town in the south where, 85 years before, Mao had first laid down the doctrine that the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is the armed force not of the government or the country but of the Communist Party. Mr Xi stressed the same law to the assembled brass: the PLA is still the party’s army; it must uphold its “revolutionary traditions” and maintain absolute loyalty to its political masters. His words were a prelude to sweeping reforms in the PLA that have unfolded in the past month, touching almost every military institution. The aim of these changes is twofold—to strengthen Mr Xi’s grip on the 2.3m-strong armed forces, which are embarrassingly corrupt at the highest level, and to make the PLA a more effective fighting force ..."

See on Domain Mondo:

Caveat Emptor!



DISCLAIMER

2015-08-27

Global Markets Addicted to Central Bank and Government Manipulation


Video above--Europe Stocks Rebound as Chinese Selloff Halts--August 27, 2015: European stocks joined a global relief rally as Chinese shares snapped a five-day losing streak. Shares rose in Europe and Asia after the biggest advance in U.S. stocks in four years on Wednesday helped restore some appetite for riskier assets. Developing-nation currencies rebounded from a record low and a surge in the last hour of trading in Shanghai sent Chinese stocks to their biggest gains in seven weeks. 

The REAL Liquidity Trap: Global Markets are now addicted to Central Banks and Governments intervening and manipulating everything from interest rates to currencies to equities (stocks).

Want proof?

Seeking Alpha: "Shares across the globe are skyrocketing after Wall Street cracked a six-day losing streak with its best rally in nearly four years. With momentum turning to the upside, investors seem to be covering their positions, while long-term bulls snap up perceived bargains. The rebound is also being attributed to falling expectations the Fed will soon raise interest rates. On Wednesday, NY Fed President William Dudley said a September hike seemed "less compelling" given recent global economic uncertainty."

China Intervened Today to Shore Up Stocks Ahead of Military Parade - Bloomberg"China’s government resumed its intervention in the stock market on Thursday and has been cutting holdings of U.S. Treasuries this month to support the yuan, according to people familiar with the matter. Authorities want to stabilize equities before a Sept. 3 military parade celebrating the 70th anniversary of the World War II victory over Japan, said two of the people, who asked not to be identified because the move wasn’t publicly announced. Treasury sales allow policy makers to raise dollars needed to bolster the yuan after a shock devaluation two weeks ago, according to different people familiar with the matter. China revived its equity purchases after the government’s absence from the market earlier this week contributed to the biggest two-day selloff since 1996. Under a new exchange-rate regime announced Aug. 11, the central bank relies on intervention to manage the yuan instead of its daily fixing. China’s surprise policy shifts have jolted markets worldwide as investors struggle to gauge their impact on the world’s second-largest economy."

China’s Stocks Surge in Late Trading to Halt Five-Day Plunge - Bloomberg"Stocks failed to sustain gains on Wednesday after the central bank cut interest rates and reduced the amount of required reserves for banks. The index tumbled 42 percent from its mid-June peak through Wednesday to erase more than $5 trillion of value as margin traders closed out bullish bets and concern deepened that valuations are unjustified by the weak economic outlook. Stocks on mainland bourses trade at a median 49 times reported earnings, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s the most among the 10 largest markets and more than three times the 18 multiple for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index."

Forget the headlines--nothing has changed from a few days ago--governments and central banks are intervening and actively manipulating global markets, even in secret, unannounced ways (see China stories above). This never ends well.

But when will it end? Probably when a sufficient number of market investors lose confidence in central banks' and governments' ability or willingness to continue to manipulate. Right now, enough "market investors" are still willing to be "market speculators" -- in effect placing casino-like bets on future "Fed policy" and "Chinese government manipulation." How high will valuations go in this giant global Ponzi-like scheme?

The "smart money" in China has already abandoned Chinese stock markets. Wealthy Chinese are moving money out of China. But the Chinese masses, and the rest of the world, are still "playing along" for now. When will expectations and speculations meet reality?


2014-08-10

Good Domain Names for Business "end with .com"

Nice article by JJ Rosen (founder of Atiba) in The Tennessean about domain names and domain name investing (at link below, excerpt follows):

Domain names still have lots of value: ".... "Good" domains for businesses are usually short, with no dashes, easy to spell, end with .com [dot com] and are easy to build a brand around [brandable]. Obtaining a good one that customers will remember can make or break a product or company. In today's world, a domain is the main component of a brand. It's golden. The value of the domain name has in effect created a new currency. Owning a desirable domain name is like holding a piece of land in an up-and-coming neighborhood. If bought at the right time and right price — then sold at the right time — it can turn out to be a great investment... Every investment has its risks, and the buying and selling of domain names is no exception. Brand new domain names are cheap but rarely have much value. Existing domain names are expensive and there is no efficient public market like a typical stock exchange to help establish a fair price... Domains are generally long-term buy-and-hold investments that are relatively illiquid compared to stocks and bonds... (emphasis added, read more at link above)





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