Showing posts with label reserve currency. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reserve currency. Show all posts

2017-12-28

A Lesson in Money: Venezuelans Want U.S. Dollars NOT Cryptocurrency

The collapse of Venezuela, explained

Vox video above published Aug 25, 2017: Venezuela is in chaos, but its leaders aren't going anywhere. Discussion of currency issues begins about 4:30. [Correction at 1:58: the Supreme Court tried to strip the country’s National Assembly of its powers in March 2017 (not 2016)].

After a decade and a half of strict exchange controls in Venezuela, access to U.S. dollars has been severely limited. Nonetheless, a black market in the world's foremost hard currency has spread in response. Venezuela's oil revenues have declined due to mismanagement and the decline in the price of oil on the world markets. Venezuela’s economy is now in free-fall, a living laboratory of whether Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency could fulfill the needs of the market and economy. In fact, Venezuela has a plan to introduce its own cryptocurrency.

Unfortunately for cryptocurrency fanatics, so far, Venezuelans are not seeking any cryptocurrency. Instead, the practice first adopted by gourmet and design stores in Caracas over the last couple of years to charge in U.S. dollars to a select group of expatriates or Venezuelans with access to the greenbacks, is fast spreading--Venezuelans scramble to survive as merchants demand dollars | reuters.com Dec 26, 2017: “There’s no point keeping bolivars.”

In fact, several countries use the U.S. dollar as their official currency, and in many others it is the de facto currency.

Definitions:
Cryptocurrency: "a digital currency in which encryption techniques are used to regulate the generation of units of currency and verify the transfer of funds, operating independently of a central bank."

Hard currency: "currency that is not likely to depreciate suddenly or to fluctuate greatly in value." Bitcoin and other "cryptocurrencies" are not "hard currency." The U.S. dollar is the world's foremost "hard currency."

Fiat money: "inconvertible paper money made legal tender by a government decree." Fiat (by government decree) currency was introduced as an alternative to commodity money and representative money.

Commodity money is "created from a good, often a precious metal such as gold or silver, which has uses other than as a medium of exchange (such a good is called a commodity). Representative money is similar to fiat money, but it represents a claim on a commodity (which can be redeemed to a greater or lesser extent)."

The circulating paper money of the U.S. consists of Federal Reserve Notes that are denominated only in United States dollars (12 U.S.C. § 418). Federal Reserve Notes are the only type of U.S. banknote currently produced. Federal Reserve Notes are authorized by Section 16 of the Federal Reserve Act of 1913 and are issued to the Federal Reserve Banks at the discretion of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The notes are then put into circulation by the Federal Reserve Banks, at which point they become liabilities of the Federal Reserve Banks and obligations of the United States. Federal Reserve Notes are legal tender, with the words "this note is legal tender for all debts, public and private" printed on each note. They have replaced United States Notes, which were once issued by the Treasury Department. Federal Reserve notes are backed by the assets of the Federal Reserve Banks, which serve as collateral under Section 16. Total assets of the U.S. Federal Reserve Banks as of Dec 20, 2017, were almost $4.5 trillion. There were approximately $1.55 trillion in Federal Reserve notes in circulation as of November 15, 2017.

If you've got it, flaunt it:
Why is the U.S. dollar in such demand in Venezuela?
  • The U.S. dollar (traded in paper money form solely by Federal Reserve Notes) is a "hard currency" and the world's most dominant reserve currency;
  • Unlike many other countries, the U.S. dollar has "never been devalued, and its notes have never been invalidated"--The US [Dollar] Will Remain the World's Reserve Currency | Investopedia.com;
  • U.S. dollars are easily exchanged for any other foreign currency and the U.S. dollar does not fluctuate greatly in value against a basket of other hard currencies.
  • U.S. is still the world's largest economy, with the world's largest military.
Also note the differences between hard currencies, like the U.S. dollar, and any cryptocurrency:
  • Cryptocurrency scams, frauds, and theft are rampant: 
Lesson: if you want to speculate or "gamble" in Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, do not do so under the delusion that any cryptocurrency outside the world's central banking system, will replace the U.S. dollar, or any other "hard currency," in the foreseeable future.
How To Protect Your Bitcoin From Hackers

CNBC.com video above published Dec 26, 2017:  CNBC's Seema Mody reports on bitcoin.

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2016-07-02

Brexit Postscript: FTSE100 Roars, Theresa May, Sword in Hand, Next PM?

British Major Jack Churchill (far right) leads Commandos, sword in hand (World War II photo - public domain)
Enjoy your weekend! Here's a review, with links, to follow-up Domain Mondo's posts on Brexit:

•  After ‘Brexecution,’ the man who betrayed Boris Johnson speaks out | WashingtonPost.com"A day after staging a political ambush that reshaped the race to be Britain’s next prime minister, Michael Gove said Friday he acted out of “conviction, not ambition”... [Theresa] May [now favored to win] would be the second female prime minister in British history, after Margaret Thatcher. May’s unsmiling public persona and hard-line conservative politics have drawn occasional comparisons to the Iron Lady ..."  

Theresa May may be exactly the right person to lead the UK, with nerves, and persona, made of steel. She has already said the UK will leave the EU, but on terms, and timing, the UK chooses, not the EU.

UPDATE July 7, 2016: Theresa May and Andrea Leadsom to vie for Iron Lady’s Mantle as ‘Hard as Nails’ U.K. Prime Minister--read more at Bloomberg.com and London Property Market: Massive Undersupply, Cheap Pound, Uncertainty | DomainMondo.com.

•  There Will Be No Early General Election | washingtonsblog.com"The new PM [UK Prime Minister] will have 3.5 years in Downing Street with a working Commons majority. As I predicted, the temperature of debate in the Tory party has cooled almost completely. Their leadership contest is genteel. People who were accusing each other of outright lies and appalling behaviour just one week ago, are now all chummy together again. The Tories care about power above all else. They have it and won’t risk it."

• Eric Schmidt on Brexit: 'Unlikely' to Hurt Google's British Operations | Fortune.com"Though he said he doesn’t understand the reason for the vote ..." Really? Maybe Eric Schmidt should read: Brexit Is Only the Latest Proof of the Insularity and Failure of Western Establishment Institutions | TheIntercept.com by Glen Greenwald: "The decision by U.K. voters to leave the EU is such a glaring repudiation of the wisdom and relevance of elite political and media institutions that — for once — their failures have become a prominent part of the storyline. Media reaction to the Brexit vote falls into two general categories: (1) earnest, candid attempts to understand what motivated voters to make this choice ... and (2) petulant, self-serving, simple-minded attacks on disobedient pro-Leave voters for being primitive, xenophobic bigots (and stupid to boot), all to evade any reckoning with their own responsibility ... these  institutions have spawned pervasive misery and inequality, only to spew condescending scorn at their victims when they object ..."


British lion and Union flag - Attribution via Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)
[Jonund, tracy, Stefano Brivio (buggolo), sculptor of lion: W. F. Woodlington]
London Stock Exchange benchmark FTSE100 comes 'roaring' back, hits 2016 high, and has its biggest weekly rise since 2011; up 3.78% since Brexit vote on June 23. Germany's DAX and France's CAC40 are still "in the red" post-Brexit vote:
Top to bottom: FTSE100 (UK); DAX (Germany); CAC40 (France) - source: google.com
•  Brexit Bargains Beckon: Hunting Ground For Brexit Bargains | SeekingAlpha.com"... In the history of value investing, the greats have consistently followed one rule: Never let a good crisis go to waste ... it is the opportune time to identify cheap businesses in certain industries that are unjustifiably beaten down or sold off together with peers. In order to screen for high-quality companies and seeking to capitalize on the panic surrounding Brexit ..."

•  Is Brexit the End of the EU? | MauldinEconomics.com: "The EU, Not Britain, Is the Weaker Player. The UK is Germany’s third-largest export market. It is the fifth-largest for France and Italy ... Europe cannot afford a trade war even if it feels insulted ... Britain’s banks channel global capital and are a huge source of investment for the Continent ... it is the clients who will determine the world’s banking hubs. London has been a traditional banking center preferred by foreign clients. New York—not Frankfurt—is the alternative to London. If clients had wanted to bank in Frankfurt, they would have already done so ..."

•  UPDATE: Backwards Brexit doomsayers: usatoday.com"... The alarmists have everything exactly backward. It is the EU that is under threat of dissolution, and it is the EU’s strongest member, Germany, that would be most vulnerable were trade relations to deteriorate ..."

•  Beware the Man With the World's Reserve Currency--It was the U.S. Federal Reserve, not the ECB, that issued trillions of dollars in credit and swap lines to the major European banks in 2008--Brexit, the E.U. and the "Special Relationship" | charleshughsmith.blogspot.com: "... The U.S. has a core interest in preserving British autonomy, but it also has a core interest in helping the European Union solve its many problems. The U.S. is not choosing between the U.K. and the E.U., except if it is forced to on specific issues by extremists in the E.U. Any clique in the E.U. that thinks the U.S. will sit idly by while they "punish" the U.K. had better recalibrate their core interests and the potential for blowback ..."


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