Showing posts with label traders. Show all posts
Showing posts with label traders. Show all posts

2019-05-18

Tech Review | What the Uber IPO Says About Investors State of Mind

graphic "Tech Review" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
Tech Review (TR 2019-05-18)--Domain Mondo's weekly review of tech investing news: Feature • 1) What the Uber IPO Says About Investors State of Mind, 2) Investing: The Week & Investor Notes: Macroview | EU Elections, 3) ICYMI Tech News:  Apple & Antitrust, Amazon, Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Oracle, China, and more.

1) What the Uber IPO Says About Investors State of Mind 

Financial Times (ft.com) U.S. managing editor Peter Spiegel and markets reporter Nicole Bullock discuss why Uber's stock traded below the $45 IPO price at the New York Stock Exchange on Friday, May 10, 2019. Video above published May 11, 2019.

Stock Exchange & Symbol: NYSE: UBER:
$UBER
See also:
  • Uber’s Future Looks Troubling: "Uber’s current $70 billion valuation seems difficult to justify. To reach profitability, both Uber and Lyft probably will be forced either to raise prices or to increase the cut they take from their drivers ... its core riding hailing business is faltering. Having faced a number of setbacks, Uber also is lagging in the longer term race to develop autonomous technology ..."
  • Uber’s "adjusted net revenue has started to decline.This points to a fundamental challenge with Uber’s business model that it has not yet figured out: How to keep prices low enough to attract riders while paying drivers enough to keep them from defecting — and still make a profit. Competition from Lyft, which is willing to suffer similar losses, makes this particularly hard."--cnbc.com.

2) Investing
graphic: "INVESTING"  ©2017 DomainMondo.com
The Week: NASDAQ Composite -1.3% | S&P 500 Index -0.8% | DJIA -0.7%
U.S. stocks bounced back from deep losses Friday but still closed lower as trade-related jitters overshadowed strong economic data--MarketWatch.com.
U.S. consumer sentiment rose to a 15-year high of 102.4 in May, well above the 97.1 expected by economists polled by MarketWatch.com and April’s reading of 97.2, according to the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index.
The Conference Board’s estimate of leading economic indicators for the U.S. (pdf) rose for the third straight month in April to 112.1, up 0.2% from March. The survey of economic conditions is a collection of forward-looking data that attempts to predict future economic growth.
"We think that China represents 15% of global GDP, yet less than 1% of all cross-border currency settlement is in their currency. It's important for us to realize that the joke is on us--if they were to open their capital account and let Chinese invest abroad--their [China's] currency would depreciate 40% in a day. I think we're making the right moves here in taking a little bit of market pain to maintain our national security in the long run. Just so you can hear from me, I don't have a vested interest in China's currency any more. It's such an important moment in time for US national security that most of my interest has been moving toward the political sphere. If you can get over the fact that there's no rule of law there, and they don't respect human rights ... then maybe you should invest money in China."--Kyle Bass
Shocked Traders Respond To Trade War--"The biggest problem is the huge disconnect with what markets have been hoping for and what is transpiring now. Markets had priced the best-case scenario and odds are shifting towards the worst-case scenario."--zerohedge.com May 13, 2019
Long View
Trendline (graphic) ©2018 DomainMondo.com
Investor Notes: Macroview | EU Elections (May 23-26):

Brexit Party Surges: after parting ways with the increasingly irrelevant UK Independence Party (UKIP), Nigel Farage co-founded the Brexit Party [domain: thebrexitparty.org], which is now polling above the Labour and Conservative parties put together ahead of the European Parliamentary elections May 23rd:
source: statista.com
France: "The 'yellow vest' demonstrations against Macron are basically the demonstrators who, more or less, voted for Trump here [U.S.]. It’s people coming from small cities, from rural areas, lower-middle-class, saying, 'We have been left behind.' And, on the right, our conservative party is moving in the same direction as the Republicans are here."--GĂ©rard Araud, French Ambassador to the U.S., from 2014 until retiring 19 Apr 2019.
European Elections 2019:
source: europarl.europa.eu
Editor's note: the Brexit Party also has Annunziata Rees-Mogg (twitter: @zatzi). Watch her in this YouTube video. She is the sister of well-known Conservative Party Brexiteer Jacob Rees-Mogg. For the Conservative Party, the problem is Theresa May: "For the Conservatives to go into a General Election without having delivered Brexit and with Theresa May as leader would be electoral suicide."

3) ICYMI Tech News:
graphic: "ICYMI Tech News" ©2017 DomainMondo.com
Apple $AAPL move downward accelerates after losing SCOTUS antitrust case:
$AAPL
Apple and tech-industry allies said before the ruling that a decision allowing the lawsuit could lead to expensive antitrust claims against other companies that run online marketplaces, potentially affecting Alphabet Inc.’s Google, Amazon.com Inc. and Facebook Inc. See also: Apple Releases iOS 12.3 With New TV App and Channels Feature--macrumors.com.

Will Amazon Put UPS Out Of Business?--zerohedge.com. See also Amazon Butts in on Google-Facebook “Duopoly” in the Huge Business of Internet Advertising. Publishers Hung Out to Dy--wolfstreet.com.

Microsoft or Google? $MSFT "has a bigger share in my portfolio ... because of its dividends, growth in cloud, improving margins, visionary leadership, and the improving FCFs"--seekingalpha.com.

Oracle is shutting down its R&D arm in China, laying off 900+ employees--zdnet.com.

Online markets have grown 10X in the last two decades, more $1B-$10B+ software startups will exist, and startups can grow faster than ever--blog.eladgil.com.

Quicktakes:
  • Italy's watchdog investigates Google for alleged antitrust abuse;
  • Amazon backing for UK food app Deliveroo;
  • Samsung Electronics undecided on further investment in its China NAND plant.
  • German finance minister expects OECD deal on digital tax in 2020;
  • Consumer bodies seek to force Alibaba portal to honor EU shoppers' rights;
  • Baidu swings to net loss for first time since listing, shares fall;
  • Nvidia revenue forecast beats as demand for gaming chip rises

Personal Tech: Death by PowerPoint: the slide that killed seven people.

-- John Poole, Editor, Domain Mondo  

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2019-05-14

Discord Gaming Chat Platform Is Bigger Than Slack (video)

Discord - The Gaming Chat Platform That's Bigger Than Slack

Discord, a free chat app designed for gamers, has been rapidly growing since it launched in 2015,  with upwards of 250 million user accounts today, about the same as Fortnite, plus 14 million daily active users, which is more than business chat-app Slack. It allows users to chat privately in groups that cannot be discovered through searches. The company markets itself explicitly to gamers, but it has servers devoted to everything from stock trading to meme sharing and fantasy football. CNBC.com video above published Apr 11, 2019.
Domain: discordapp.com


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2019-01-17

How Fintech Startup Robinhood Makes Money (video)

How Robinhood Makes Money

Robinhood is an investing app valued at over $5 billion, that says it's trying to "democratize America's financial system" by making investing accessible to the little guy with free trades--Invest for Free--"Invest in stocks, ETFs, options, and cryptocurrencies, all commission-free, right from your phone or desktop." It's an eye-popping valuation for a financial company with opaque metrics and plenty of competition. The young company had its share of missteps as well, prompting questions of whether or not it can handle primetime. Robinhood has faced criticism for business practices that allow it to offer free trading. It also botched the rollout of a checking and savings account feature in late 2018, garnering concern from regulators. But the company's incredible growth and popularity with younger investors – more than 6 million users by the end of 2018 – means it could be a major player in banking moving forward. CNBC video above published Jan 16, 2019.

Domain: robinhood.com



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2018-09-11

September Investing & Trading Strategies (video)

Morning Jolt from TheStreet.com:

Investing Strategies: TheStreet.com's "Morning Jolt" video above published Monday morning Sep 10, 2018, discusses Alibaba $BABA, Apple $AAPL, and other issues.

Note: Monday, Sep 10, 2018 4:04 p.m. EDT--S&P 500, NASDAQ break 4-day losing streak as tech shares rebound | marketwatch.com.

NASDAQ Composite
So far in 2018, the S&P 500 has gained +7.6%, the Dow is up about +5%, while tech-centric NASDAQ is now up nearly +15% in the first nine months of the year.

September Trading Strategies

Trading Strategies: September historically has been a rough time for the markets with the S&P500 clocking a 0.5% average decline during the month since 1950, according to data from LPL Research. But will stocks buck the trend this year and continue to reach new heights as they did in August? Stocks traditionally post declines in August as well, but this year, the S&P 500 clocked a 3% gain during the month.

On September 25-26, a closely watched Federal Reserve meeting is expected to issue another interest rate hike announcement. Investors will also be watching trade negotiations between Canada, China and the EU.

TheStreet.com video above was streamed live Sep 6, 2018, and features:
•Kristina Hooper, chief global investment strategist, Invesco
•Alicia Levine, head of investment strategy, BNY Mellon
•Ann Miletti, senior portfolio manager, Wells Fargo Asset Management
•Brian Levitt, senior investment strategist, OppenheimerFunds


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2018-02-09

Gold & Silver? The Oil Market is Bigger Than ALL Metal Markets Combined


Oil production per year: 34 billion barrels (including other liquids)
Oil market size: $1.7 trillion* per year

Compare the annual market sizes of all major metals and minerals that are mined throughout the world:
  • Gold: $170 billion
  • Iron: $115 billion
  • Copper: $91 billion
  • Aluminum: $90 billion
  • Zinc: $34 billion
  • Manganese: $30 billion
  • Nickel: $21 billion
  • Silver: $20 billion
Other metals: $67 billion (including platinum, palladium, titanium, tin, moly, uranium, and more)

The total amount works out to $660 billion – just a fraction of the size of the oil market. Source: VisualCapitalist.com (*October 14, 2016)

See:



2017-12-19

Bitcoin Futures: Hong Kong's BitMEX vs. Chicago's $CME & $CBOE

Headline: Exchange giant CME's bitcoin futures get tepid take-up in debut | reuters.com.

Where's the action?

BitMEX (domain: bitmex.com), a Hong Kong-based trading platform specializing in bitcoin futures and reportedly offering investors up to 100 times leverage on their positions, with an initial margin requirement of just 1 percent (Editor's note: this sounds crazy! ), but WATCH OUT:


More info on BitMEX here, here (Google.com SERP) and here (Reddit.com). Caveat Emptor!

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2017-12-11

Bitcoin Futures $XBT Start Trading Sunday, 6pm ET, on Cboe's CFE (video)

All About Bitcoin Trades

$XBT Debut--bitcoin futures begin trading, Sunday, December 10, 2017, 5pm CT (6pm ET) in Chicago on the Cboe Futures Exchange (CFE)--Cboe Global Markets (cboe.com) video above published Dec 8, 2017. See also: Cboe Launches Bitcoin Futures Trading in Chicago On Sunday (video) | DomainMondo.com.

After bitcoin’s wild week, traders brace for futures launch on Sunday--reuters.com--interactive graphic on bitcoin's blistering ascent click here.

UPDATE Dec 11, 2017, via @nntaleb:
Bitcoin Futures Are On The Way: Here's What To Expect | CNBC.com

CNBC.com video above published Dec 8, 2017: CNBC's Bob Pisani explains what bitcoin futures market means for trading, regulation, liquidity, price and volatility.

Cboe Futures Exchange (CFE®) (domain: cfe.cboe.com) is the "home of volatility futures, featuring futures on the Cboe® Volatility Index (VIX®). CFE is owned by Cboe Global Markets and trades on CFE are cleared by The Options Clearing Corporation (OCC). CFE is an all-electronic, open access market model with dedicated market makers and market participants providing liquidity." See also XBT-Planned Cboe Bitcoin Futures | cfe.cboe.com and Bitcoin | Cboe Blogs | Cboe.com.

XBT-Planned Cboe Bitcoin Futures | cfe.cboe.com: "Why Trade XBT Futures - Settle to a Single Auction Price - XBT futures is a cash-settled contract that settles to a single, tradeable auction price. In designing XBT futures, Cboe leveraged its significant product development expertise to design an instrument that allows participants to implement trading strategies in a manner to which they are accustomed. The single price settlement process gives participants the option of using XBT futures to hedge their exposure in underlying bitcoin or gain exposure to traded bitcoin prices without holding bitcoin. How Can I Trade XBT Futures on Cboe Futures Exchange? Bitcoin futures based on the Gemini auction prices will be traded exclusively at Cboe Futures Exchange. Contact your brokerage firm to find out how to trade XBT futures at Cboe Futures Exchange."

See also:
"Those who plan to use bitcoin futures to speculate on the digital currency should risk only what they'd be comfortable taking to Las Vegas. Most importantly, avoid taking positions so large that the value of your bitcoin futures exceeds the value of your brokerage account equity. Leveraged future trades are one of the very few ways you can lose all of your account balance, and more, if markets move against you."--Cboe Bitcoin Futures: 5 Things You Should Know About XBT | fool.com

"The futures market for gold is almost 10x the size (measuring the underlying asset of the contracts) of the physical gold market ... [like gold futures] both the CME and the CBOE bitcoin futures settle in cash, not in actual bitcoin ... So, it’s likely that the bitcoin futures market will end up being even larger than the actual bitcoin market .... I’m concerned that institutional investors that would have purchased bitcoin for its potential gains will now just head to the futures market. Cleaner, cheaper, safer and more regulated. What worries me even more is the possibility that the institutional funds that have already bought bitcoin (and pushed the price up to current levels) will decide that the official futures market is safer. And they will sell ..."--The Threat of Bitcoin Futures | CoinDesk.com.

@CBOE


$XBT


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2017-03-15

Fed Rate Hike, Brexit, Dutch & French Elections: The Path Forward (videos)

Fed's Rate Path in Focus Now That March Is Certain

Video above published Mar 14, 2017, by Bloomberg.com:  The Federal Open Market Committee began its two-day meeting on Tuesday with markets 100 percent convinced the Fed will raise interest rates. Now the question becomes, how the Fed's rate path may progress from here. Bloomberg's Matthew Boesler is joined by Greg Peters, senior portfolio manager at PGIM, on "Bloomberg Daybreak: Americas."

U.K.'s May Says Brexit Bill Becomes Law in 'Coming Days'

Video above published Mar 14, 2017, by Bloomberg.com: U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May announced in a statement before the House of Commons that she is on track to trigger Brexit by the end of the month and her Brexit bill will become law within the "coming days."

Dutch Election: Why It Matters

Video above published on Mar 13, 2017: After Brexit and Donald Trump, will the Netherlands be next to upset the status quo? The Dutch are heading to the polls on March 15, and the election is seen as an important test for the future of the European Union. WSJ.com's Niki Blasina reports.

See also: Netherlands Vote Wednesday: Analyzing the Turkey Effect; How Many Parties Will Take to Form A Coalition? | MishTalk: "Don’t Hold Your Breath"

UPDATE 15 Mar 2017: exit polls show Rutte controlling 31 seats, 10 fewer than his party won in the 2012, while 3 parties each won 19: pro-EU center party D66, Christian Democrat CDA, and Wilders' Party for Freedom. Rutte has said he would not rule with Wilders, so the question becomes how he can acquire the necessary 75-seat coalition, which may take months of talks before a new government can be formed.

Meanwhile the latest news about the coming French electionFrench presidential candidate Francois Fillon charged with misuse of public funds (video) one day before his scheduled questioning in the matter, reports Bloomberg's Mark Barton on "Bloomberg Markets."

Why Robert Shiller Is Worried About the Trump Rally | Bloomberg.com"Ethan Harris, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s global economist in New York. Like the fable of the boy who cried wolf, Harris says pessimistic forecasters have so badly over-estimated the consequences of big events -- the rolling European debt crisis since 2010, the U.S. debt-ceiling standoff in 2011, Brexit in 2016 -- that traders have become conditioned to ignore them."

"Shiller says when markets are as buoyant as they are now, resisting the urge to pile in is hard regardless of what else might be happening in society. “I was tempted to do it, too,” he says. “Trump keeps talking about a new spirit for America and so you could (A) believe that or (B) you could believe that other investors believe that.” On whether stocks are nearing a top, Shiller can’t say with any certainty. He’s loathe to make short-term forecasts."

Caveat Emptor!

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2017-03-02

Giant IPO Snap Inc. $SNAP Ready For Takeoff? (videos)

Snap Said to Price Shares in IPO at $17 Each

Video above published Mar 1, 2017: Snap priced the shares in its initial public offering at $17 each, above the marketed range, according to a person with knowledge of the matter. Bloomberg's Caroline Hyde reports on "What'd You Miss?"

Why Banks Salivate Over Giant IPOs Like Snap’s

Video above published Feb 28, 2017: Bloomberg’s Erik Schatzker discusses why giant IPOs are not good business for Wall Street and whether Snap’s will live up to the hype. He speaks on “Bloomberg Markets.”

Does Snap Have the Right Stuff for a Successful IPO?

Video above published Feb 28, 2017: On “Bloomberg Technology,” Alex Barinka examines Snap’s unique shareholder structure that may raise questions for investors in the long run.
See also: The Pundits Are Wrong: Snap Is A Buy - Snap Inc. (Pending:SNAP) | SeekingAlpha.com


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2016-06-24

Brexit Vote Results LIVE, UK Votes to Leave EU, What Happens Next?

While the UK Electoral Commission expected to have full results of the EU referendum no later than 7 a.m. BST (or 2 a.m. EDT) on Friday morning, results from the 382 voting wards started coming in Thursday evening, beginning at about 11:30 p.m. BST (6:30 p.m. EDT in the US). Wikileaks also provided LIVE coverage of the Brexit vote results, hosted by Julian Assange, at: brexitclub.eu. EU referendum live results trackers at Live: EU referendum results | spectator.co.ukBBC.com and TheGuardian.com.

UPDATE 02 July 2016: Brexit Postscript: FTSE100 Roars, Theresa May, Sword in Hand, Next PM? | DomainMondo.com.

UPDATE: UK Votes to Leave the EU (European Union) 52% to 48%, Prime Minister David Cameron announces he will resign so a new Prime Minister is in place by the time of the October (2016) Conservative Party Conference and "fresh leadership" can lead the Brexit negotiations with the EU.
Earlier this week, EU referendum, a/k/a "Brexit," polling suggested the outcome of whether British voters would choose to 'Remain' or 'Leave' was too close to call, but equities had been soaring and British sterling was at 2016 highs, indicating traders were betting "Remain" would win. Traders in London are now bracing themselves while the G7 nations are poised to take "all necessary steps" to calm markets in view of the Brexit result.
U.K. Votes Leave to EU? What Happens Next?

Adding to the drama, on Friday, June 24, the Russell stock indexes rebalance. Even in normal markets, this is often the busiest trading day of the year in terms of volume. With the Brexit vote results coming in early Friday morning in the United Kingdom, Friday's markets could be volatile.

See also on Domain MondoBrexit: Will UK Vote to Leave or Remain in the European Union? (video)



"Article 50:
1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the [European] Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.
2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.
3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.
4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.
A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.
5. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49." (emphasis added)

*This post was updated to reflect the Brexit vote results.

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2016-06-20

China's Economy Hard to Fix, George Soros Expects Hard Landing (video)

Here's Why China's Economy Will Be So Hard to Fix:

China’s leaders have a mammoth task steering the world’s second largest economy out of its current slowdown. This QuickTake examines the challenges they face. Published  by Bloomberg.com June 7, 2016

George Soros Is Trading Again, Bearishly:

Billionaire investor George Soros is back to trading following a long hiatus, and he's making a series of bearish investments. WSJ's Geoffrey Rogow discusses with Tanya Rivero. Published vy WSJ..com June 9, 2016



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