2016-04-04

Will the UK Leave the EU? Brexit Is More Likely Than You Think (video)

Brexit Is More Likely Than You Think:

Brexit (United Kingdom withdrawal from the European Union) is more likely than you think: Gideon Rachman, chief foreign affairs columnist, tells Frederick Studemann, FT.com comment and analysis editor, why he believes the chances of a vote to leave the EU in June’s referendum are growing. FT Comment published March 21, 2016.

The EU Referendum Vote in the UK will occur June 23, 2016. 

Domain name of leading organization in movement to leave the EU: voteleavetakecontrol.org

The Campaign - Vote Leave"Why are we campaigning for 'leave'? Technological and economic forces are changing the world fast. EU institutions cannot cope. We have lost control of vital policies. This is damaging. We need a new relationship. What happens if we vote 'leave'? We should negotiate a new UK-EU deal based on free trade and friendly cooperation. We end the supremacy of EU law. We regain control. We stop sending £350 million every week to Brussels and instead spend it on our priorities, like the NHS and science research. We regain our seats on international institutions like the World Trade Organisation so we are a more influential force for free trade and international cooperation. A vote to 'leave' and a better, friendlier relationship with the EU is much safer than giving Brussels more power and money every year."

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A Brexit would impact not only Europe and the UK, but would possibly have ramifications for global markets. Even U.S. Presidential candidate for GOP nomination, Donald J. Trump, was asked about the Brexit vote in a British TV interview with Piers Morgan (emphasis and link added):
"Mr. Trump promised to strengthen the ‘special relationship’ between the US and UK if he is elected President in November. Asked if now was the right time for Britain to quit the EU, Mr Trump said: 'Yes, my mother was born, as you know in Scotland, in Stornoway, and she loved Scotland. 'She loved it more than anything, she'd go back every year religiously with my sisters and just had a great feeling for it and a great love for the people of Scotland and I think that Britain will separate from the EU. I think maybe it's time, especially in light of what's happened, with the craziness that's going on with the migration, with people pouring in all over the place. I think that Britain will end up separating from the EU, that's my opinion. 'I'm not endorsing it one way or the other but that's my opinion. I think a lot of people want to see that happen.'" (source: Daily Mail, emphasis added).
To many Americans a Brexit sounds like the U.S. leaving NAFTA, even though the EU is a political and economic union with trade benefits, not just a Free Trade Zone. On the other hand, something such as Scotland seceding from the U.K., is anathema to many Americans whose Civil War accounted for more American deaths than all other U.S. wars combined, and settled forever, among other things, the question of State secession--the U.S. Supreme Court subsequently ruling in Texas v. White (1869), the United States of America "an indestructible Union, composed of indestructible States"--
"When, therefore, Texas became one of the United States, she entered into an indissoluble relation. All the obligations of perpetual union, and all the guaranties of republican government in the Union, attached at once to the State. The act which consummated her admission into the Union was something more than a compact; it was the incorporation of a new member into the political body. And it was final. The union between Texas and the other States was as complete, as perpetual, and as indissoluble as the union between the original States. There was no place for reconsideration or revocation, except through revolution or through consent of the States." --Texas v. White, supra.

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